Nacional de Montevideo v CA Tigre BA ODDS & FAIR LINE
CSTue 21 Jul, 23:00 UK · in 7d
Outcome
Model prob
Fair odds (sharp, devigged)
Best price
Edge vs fair
Nacional de Montevideo
46.5%
2.15
2.04
-4.9%
Draw
28.3%
3.56
3.35
-5.9%
CA Tigre BA
25.2%
3.95
3.85
-2.6%
Totals (2.5 goals line)
Over: 2.30 · Under: 1.57 — best captured prices.
Bookmaker board — who holds each price
Book
Nacional de Montevideo
Draw
CA Tigre BA
Casumo
2.04
3.25
3.80
LiveScore Bet
1.97
3.15
3.70
Virgin Bet
1.97
3.15
3.70
LeoVegas
1.95
3.35
3.85
Paddy Power
1.91
3.10
3.80
Sky Bet
1.91
3.00
3.50
Coral
1.95
3.10
3.60
Smarkets
1.93
3.05
3.50
Betfred (UK)
1.95
3.20
3.75
888sport
1.95
3.20
3.70
William Hill
1.95
3.20
3.70
Captured at the engine's odds snapshot, timestamped — best price per column highlighted. Availability varies by region.
Sharp reference (raw): 2.01 / 3.33 / 3.70 — the line our fair odds devig from.
Recorded price movement
Odds movement
1X2 · Nacional de Montevideo — best price vs devigged fair line
Best price — Nacional de MontevideoFair line (devig) — Nacional de Montevideo
Step chart of real recorded observations — the engine refreshes its
odds snapshot several times a day and we log every change it sees. Nothing is interpolated or invented.
What are the fair odds for Nacional de Montevideo v CA Tigre BA?
Removing the bookmaker margin from captured prices puts the fair 1X2 line at 2.15 / 3.56 / 3.95 (sharp-anchored, devigged). A price above the fair line is a mispricing claim about the price, never a win claim.
Data from the engine snapshot · updated just now · all prices are real captured bookmaker odds, timestamped.
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