VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga - Germany prediction, odds and analysis
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Reliability
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VfB StuttgartvBorussia Dortmund
Sat 19 Sept, 17:30VfB Stuttgart2.28Betfair
Draw4.00Betfred (UK)
Borussia Dortmund2.92Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 17 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: MHPArena, StuttgartKickoff weather: 17.8°C · rain 0 mm · wind 7.8 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WDWLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 3.5 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | vs Viking (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | at 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | 3-3 | D |
| 2026-09-04 | vs 1. FC Köln (H) | 4-1 | W |
| 2026-08-28 | at Bayern München (A) | 1-5 | L |
| 2026-08-21 | at Hansa Rostock (A) | 4-0 | W |
WWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.25 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | vs Villarreal (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at 1899 Hoffenheim (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at TSG Hoffenheim (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-01 | at HEBC (A) | 5-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 2 | -1 | WL |
| Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 6 | 2 | +3 | WW |
VfB Stuttgart: 3 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 18th
Borussia Dortmund: level on points with 1st · 6 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
VfB Stuttgart 4 wins1 drawBorussia Dortmund 1avg 3.2 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-11-22 | Borussia Dortmund v VfB Stuttgart | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-08 | Dortmund v Stuttgart | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-22 | Stuttgart v Dortmund | 5-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-06 | Borussia Dortmund v VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-06 | Dortmund v Stuttgart | 0-1 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
VfB Stuttgartsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Fuhrich | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| N. Nartey | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| L. Assignon | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| T. Tomas | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Diehl | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Seimen | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Sauer | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| L. Jaquez | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Arevalo | Missing Fixture | Back Injury |
| D. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| C. Fuhrich | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| N. Nartey | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| L. Assignon | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| T. Tomas | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Borussia Dortmundsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| E. Can | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Bensebaini | Missing Fixture | Ribs Injury |
| N. Schlotterbeck | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| G. Konstantelias | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Lerma | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Inacio | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| M. Kaba | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Can | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| R. Bensebaini | Missing Fixture | Ribs Injury |
| N. Schlotterbeck | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| G. Konstantelias | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| J. Lerma | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| S. Inacio | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| M. Kaba | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| E. Can | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Bundesliga - Germany fixtures
Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04Borussia Dortmund v SC PaderbornFSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht FrankfurtTSG Hoffenheim v VfB StuttgartAugsburg v Bayer LeverkusenSC Freiburg v Borussia Monchengladbach
Frequently asked questions
When do VfB Stuttgart play Borussia Dortmund?
Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 UK time in the Bundesliga - Germany.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.