Viking FK v Sandefjord PREDICTION
EN Sat 18 Jul, 17:00 UK · in 4d1X2 · Viking FKModel behind market recent
Market
1.32
price
75.8%
implied · incl. margin
Fair · devigged · sharp
1.36
fair price
73.7%
fair prob
Our model
1.53
model fair price
65.3%
model prob · D-C + ELO
market fair 74%model 65%
Model divergence -8.4 pts
Edge vs fair -2.7%
12 books priced
Model · 1X2
Viking FK
65%
Draw
20%
Sandefjord
15%
market fair (devig · sharp): 74% / 15% / 11%
Expected goals (λ)
2.416 — 1.086
Dixon-Coles attack/defence · most likely 2-1
Engine confidence
unscored — outside the engine’s scan window
Model prices Viking FK 65% against the market’s fair 74% — a -8.4 pt divergence, from expected goals 2.416–1.086 (most likely 2-1). A divergence, not a certainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Two-goal-lead probability (Monte-Carlo): Viking FK 52% · Sandefjord 11% — relevant to 2-Up markets.
No grounded brief yet
Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends grounded calls only where team news can change a decision. This fixture didn’t clear that bar today; the numbers above stand on the model and market alone. We never fill this space with inferred detail.
Grounded team-news brief
No grounded brief for this fixture yet. Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends them where they can change a decision.
More Eliteserien - Norway fixtures
Vålerenga v AalesundBodø/Glimt v Fredrikstad FKHamKam v TromsoIK Start v RosenborgLillestrom v KFUMKristiansund BK v Sarpsborg FK
Frequently asked questions
When do Viking FK play Sandefjord?
Kick-off is Sat 18 Jul, 17:00 UK time in the Eliteserien - Norway.
What does the model expect for Viking FK v Sandefjord?
The statistical model prices Viking FK at 65%, the draw at 20% and Sandefjord at 15%, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline. Probabilities carry uncertainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Data from the engine snapshot · updated just now · all prices are real captured bookmaker odds, timestamped.
Sign in to open match intelligence
Model probabilities, fair odds, price movement and the grounded brief for every fixture — free with an account. One email, no card.
Create a free account See the open track recordThe track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.