Primera División - Argentina Predictions — Model Probabilities

Research, not instructions — the model states a probability, never a selection.

Want to slice this yourself? Open in Explorer — model probabilities preset →

This page selects every fixture on the current snapshot that carries a full model view — win, draw and win probabilities plus the most likely scoreline. A fixture the engine has not yet scored is left out rather than shown with an assumed number.

0 fixtures of 22 considered

Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time.

Match	Kickoff (UK)	Model 1X2	Most likely score
Instituto de Córdoba v Deportivo Riestra	Tue 27 Oct, 00:15	—	—
Argentinos Juniors v Independiente Rivadavia	Tue 27 Oct, 22:00	—	—
Argentinos Juniors v Independiente Rivadavia	Tue 27 Oct, 22:00	—	—
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Gimnasia La Plata	Fri 30 Oct, 22:00	—	—
Atlético Huracán v CA Tigre BA	Fri 30 Oct, 22:00	—	—
Sarmiento de Junin v Rosario Central	Sat 31 Oct, 00:15	—	—
Racing Club v Aldosivi Mar del Plata	Sat 31 Oct, 00:15	—	—
Defensa y Justicia v Independiente	Sat 31 Oct, 17:45	—	—
Defensa y Justicia v Independiente	Sat 31 Oct, 17:45	—	—
Deportivo Riestra v Talleres	Sat 31 Oct, 20:00	—	—
Velez Sarsfield BA v San Lorenzo	Sat 31 Oct, 22:15	—	—
Estudiantes v Instituto de Córdoba	Sun 1 Nov, 00:30	—	—
Estudiantes L.P. v Instituto Cordoba	Sun 1 Nov, 00:30	—	—
Boca Juniors v River Plate	Sun 1 Nov, 18:00	—	—
Belgrano de Cordoba v Barracas Central	Sun 1 Nov, 21:30	—	—
Newells Old Boys v Union Santa Fe	Sun 1 Nov, 21:30	—	—
Lanus v Gimnasia Mendoza	Sun 1 Nov, 23:45	—	—
Lanus v Gimnasia M.	Sun 1 Nov, 23:45	—	—
Platense v Central Córdoba	Mon 2 Nov, 22:00	—	—
Platense v Central Cordoba de Santiago	Mon 2 Nov, 22:00	—	—
Independiente Rivadavia v Banfield	Tue 3 Nov, 00:15	—	—
Atlético Tucuman v Argentinos Juniors	Tue 3 Nov, 00:15	—	—

Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The track record grades every published call in the open.

Frequently asked questions

How are these primera división - argentina predictions made?

A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.

Are these betting tips?

No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.

How do I know the model is any good?

The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.

Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.