Brazil Série A Predictions — Model Probabilities
Research, not instructions — the model states a probability, never a selection.
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This page selects every fixture on the current snapshot that carries a full model view — win, draw and win probabilities plus the most likely scoreline. A fixture the engine has not yet scored is left out rather than shown with an assumed number.
0 fixtures of 20 considered
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Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time.
| Match | Kickoff (UK) | Model 1X2 | Most likely score |
|---|---|---|---|
 Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense
|
Sat 12 Sept, 01:00 | — | — |
| Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense
|
Sat 12 Sept, 01:00 | — | — |
 Atletico Mineiro v Fluminense
|
Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 | — | — |
 Grêmio v Vasco da Gama
|
Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 | — | — |
| Atletico Mineiro v Fluminense
|
Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 | — | — |
| Grêmio v Vasco da Gama
|
Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 | — | — |
 Chapecoense v Internacional
|
Sat 12 Sept, 21:00 | — | — |
 Palmeiras v Sao Paulo
|
Sat 12 Sept, 22:30 | — | — |
 Botafogo v Bragantino-SP
|
Sun 13 Sept, 00:30 | — | — |
 Santos v Cruzeiro
|
Sun 13 Sept, 01:00 | — | — |
 Mirassol v Vitoria
|
Sun 13 Sept, 20:00 | — | — |
 Flamengo v Corinthians
|
Sun 13 Sept, 21:30 | — | — |
 Bahia v Remo
|
Tue 15 Sept, 00:00 | — | — |
| Bahia v Remo
|
Tue 15 Sept, 00:00 | — | — |
| Botafogo v Gremio
|
Wed 16 Sept, 23:30 | — | — |
| Atletico Mineiro v Chapecoense
|
Sat 19 Sept, 20:00 | — | — |
| Mirassol v Botafogo
|
Sat 19 Sept, 21:00 | — | — |
| Remo v Santos
|
Sat 19 Sept, 22:30 | — | — |
| Vasco da Gama v Coritiba
|
Sun 20 Sept, 00:30 | — | — |
| Sao Paulo v Internacional
|
Sun 20 Sept, 01:00 | — | — |
Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction
view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The
track record grades every published call in the open.
Frequently asked questions
How are these brazil série a predictions made?
A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.
Are these betting tips?
No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.
How do I know the model is any good?
The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 13 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.