Brazil Série A Predictions — Model Probabilities
Research, not instructions — the model states a probability, never a selection.
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This page selects every fixture on the current snapshot that carries a full model view — win, draw and win probabilities plus the most likely scoreline. A fixture the engine has not yet scored is left out rather than shown with an assumed number.
0 fixtures of 18 considered
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Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time.
| Match | Kickoff (UK) | Model 1X2 | Most likely score |
|---|---|---|---|
 Bragantino-SP v Chapecoense
|
Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 | — | — |
 Fluminense v Internacional
|
Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 | — | — |
 Santos v Palmeiras
|
Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 | — | — |
 Bahia v Sao Paulo
|
Thu 29 Oct, 00:30 | — | — |
 Remo v Botafogo
|
Thu 29 Oct, 00:30 | — | — |
 Atletico Mineiro v Cruzeiro
|
Thu 29 Oct, 22:30 | — | — |
 Coritiba v Vitoria
|
Thu 29 Oct, 22:30 | — | — |
 Vasco da Gama v Flamengo
|
Thu 29 Oct, 23:00 | — | — |
 Grêmio v Atletico Paranaense
|
Fri 30 Oct, 00:30 | — | — |
 Corinthians v Mirassol
|
Fri 30 Oct, 23:00 | — | — |
| Coritiba v Vitoria
|
Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 | — | — |
| Bragantino-SP v Santos
|
Mon 2 Nov, 23:00 | — | — |
| Chapecoense v Mirassol
|
Tue 3 Nov, 22:30 | — | — |
| Internacional v Coritiba
|
Wed 4 Nov, 00:30 | — | — |
| Flamengo v Grêmio
|
Wed 4 Nov, 22:30 | — | — |
| Atletico Paranaense v Vasco da Gama
|
Wed 4 Nov, 22:30 | — | — |
| Sao Paulo v Corinthians
|
Thu 5 Nov, 00:30 | — | — |
| Botafogo v Atletico Mineiro
|
Thu 5 Nov, 00:30 | — | — |
Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction
view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The
track record grades every published call in the open.
Frequently asked questions
How are these brazil série a predictions made?
A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.
Are these betting tips?
No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.
How do I know the model is any good?
The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.