Brazil Série B Predictions — Model Probabilities

Research, not instructions — the model states a probability, never a selection.
MatchKickoff (UK)Model 1X2Most likely score
Ceará crestCeará v GoiásGoiás crest Tue 27 Oct, 23:00 — —
Criciuma crestCriciuma v Ponte PretaPonte Preta crest Fri 30 Oct, 22:30 — —
Botafogo-SP crestBotafogo-SP v Sport RecifeSport Recife crest Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 — —
Vila Nova crestVila Nova v JuventudeJuventude crest Sat 31 Oct, 21:00 — —
Nautico Recife crestNautico Recife v AvaiAvai crest Sat 31 Oct, 22:30 — —
Londrina crestLondrina v America MineiroAmerica Mineiro crest Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 — —
Grêmio Novorizontino crestGrêmio Novorizontino v Operario PROperario PR crest Sun 1 Nov, 21:30 — —
Cuiaba crestCuiaba v São BernardoSão Bernardo crest Sun 1 Nov, 21:30 — —
Fortaleza EC crestFortaleza EC v Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense crest Mon 2 Nov, 19:00 — —
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club v CearaCeara crest Mon 2 Nov, 21:00 — —
Goias crestGoias v CRBCRB crest Mon 2 Nov, 23:30 — —
Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The track record grades every published call in the open.

Frequently asked questions

How are these brazil série b predictions made?
A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.
Are these betting tips?
No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.
How do I know the model is any good?
The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.