Superettan - Sweden Predictions — Model Probabilities
Model probabilities for every Superettan - Sweden fixture on the live snapshot — 8 of 8 carry a full model view. Research, not instructions.
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| Match | Kickoff (UK) | Model 1X2 | Most likely score |
|---|---|---|---|
| IK Oddevold v Varbergs BoIS | Sat 18 Jul, 12:00 | 41% / 36% / 23% | 0-0 |
| Östersunds FK v Landskrona BoIS | Sat 18 Jul, 14:00 | 41% / 36% / 23% | 0-0 |
| Östers IF v IK Brage | Sat 18 Jul, 16:00 | 41% / 36% / 23% | 0-0 |
| IFK Norrkoping v Sandvikens IF | Sun 19 Jul, 12:00 | 41% / 36% / 23% | 0-0 |
| IFK Värnamo v Ljungskile SK | Sun 19 Jul, 14:00 | 41% / 36% / 23% | 0-0 |
| Nordic United FC v Örebro SK | Sun 19 Jul, 14:00 | 41% / 36% / 23% | 0-0 |
| Norrby IF v GIF Sundsvall | Mon 20 Jul, 18:00 | 41% / 36% / 23% | 0-0 |
| Falkenbergs FF v Helsingborgs IF | Tue 21 Jul, 18:00 | 41% / 36% / 23% | 0-0 |
Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction
view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The
track record grades every published call in the open.
Frequently asked questions
How are these superettan - sweden predictions made?
A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.
Are these betting tips?
No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.
How do I know the model is any good?
The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.
Data from the engine snapshot · updated just now · all prices are real captured bookmaker odds, timestamped.