Ligue 2 - France Predictions — Model Probabilities

Research, not instructions — the model states a probability, never a selection.
MatchKickoff (UK)Model 1X2Most likely score
Sochaux crestSochaux v NantesNantes crest Sat 12 Sept, 13:00
Guingamp crestGuingamp v Annecy FCAnnecy FC crest Sat 12 Sept, 13:00
USL Dunkerque crestUSL Dunkerque v Saint EtienneSaint Etienne crest Sat 12 Sept, 19:00
Red Star crestRed Star v MetzMetz crest Mon 14 Sept, 19:45
Annecy crestAnnecy v DijonDijon crest Fri 18 Sept, 19:00
Grenoble crestGrenoble v Clermont FootClermont Foot crest Fri 18 Sept, 19:00
Laval crestLaval v SochauxSochaux crest Fri 18 Sept, 19:00
PAU crestPAU v DunkerqueDunkerque crest Fri 18 Sept, 19:00
Reims crestReims v MontpellierMontpellier crest Fri 18 Sept, 19:00
Rodez crestRodez v NancyNancy crest Fri 18 Sept, 19:00
Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The track record grades every published call in the open.

Frequently asked questions

How are these ligue 2 - france predictions made?
A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.
Are these betting tips?
No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.
How do I know the model is any good?
The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 13 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.