Turkey Super League Predictions — Model Probabilities

Research, not instructions — the model states a probability, never a selection.
MatchKickoff (UK)Model 1X2Most likely score
Samsunspor crestSamsunspor v Çorum FKÇorum FK crest Sat 12 Sept, 15:00
Eyüpspor crestEyüpspor v Çaykur RizesporÇaykur Rizespor crest Sat 12 Sept, 15:00
Torku Konyaspor crestTorku Konyaspor v TrabzonsporTrabzonspor crest Sat 12 Sept, 18:00
Alanyaspor crestAlanyaspor v GoztepeGoztepe crest Sat 12 Sept, 18:00
Genclerbirligi SK crestGenclerbirligi SK v Kasimpasa SKKasimpasa SK crest Sun 13 Sept, 15:00
Galatasaray crestGalatasaray v KocaelisporKocaelispor crest Sun 13 Sept, 18:00
Amed SK crestAmed SK v BasaksehirBasaksehir crest Sun 13 Sept, 18:00
Gazişehir Gaziantep crestGazişehir Gaziantep v FenerbahceFenerbahce crest Mon 14 Sept, 18:00
Kasımpaşa crestKasımpaşa v KonyasporKonyaspor crest Fri 18 Sept, 18:00
Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The track record grades every published call in the open.

Frequently asked questions

How are these turkey super league predictions made?
A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.
Are these betting tips?
No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.
How do I know the model is any good?
The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.