J League Predictions — Model Probabilities

Research, not instructions — the model states a probability, never a selection.
MatchKickoff (UK)Model 1X2Most likely score
Fagiano Okayama crestFagiano Okayama v FC TokyoFC Tokyo crest Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 — —
Mito HollyHock crestMito HollyHock v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FCHiroshima Sanfrecce FC crest Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 — —
Kyoto Purple Sanga crestKyoto Purple Sanga v Shimizu S PulseShimizu S Pulse crest Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 — —
Kashima Antlers crestKashima Antlers v Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka crest Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 — —
Vissel Kobe crestVissel Kobe v Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus crest Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 — —
Kashiwa Reysol crestKashiwa Reysol v Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa Red Diamonds crest Sat 31 Oct, 07:00 — —
Yokohama F Marinos crestYokohama F Marinos v Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale crest Sun 1 Nov, 04:00 — —
JEF United Chiba crestJEF United Chiba v Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka crest Sun 1 Nov, 05:00 — —
V-Varen Nagasaki crestV-Varen Nagasaki v Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy crest Sun 1 Nov, 05:00 — —
FC Machida Zelvia crestFC Machida Zelvia v Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka crest Sun 1 Nov, 07:00 — —
Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The track record grades every published call in the open.

Frequently asked questions

How are these j league predictions made?
A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.
Are these betting tips?
No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.
How do I know the model is any good?
The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.