3. Liga - Germany Predictions — Model Probabilities

Research, not instructions — the model states a probability, never a selection.
MatchKickoff (UK)Model 1X2Most likely score
Fortuna Düsseldorf crestFortuna Düsseldorf v SV MeppenSV Meppen crest Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 — —
TSV Havelse crestTSV Havelse v FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 04 crest Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 — —
Jahn Regensburg crestJahn Regensburg v Hansa RostockHansa Rostock crest Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 — —
TSG Hoffenheim II crestTSG Hoffenheim II v FC Viktoria Köln 1904FC Viktoria Köln 1904 crest Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 — —
SC Verl crestSC Verl v Wehen WiesbadenWehen Wiesbaden crest Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 — —
MSV Duisburg crestMSV Duisburg v VfB Stuttgart IIVfB Stuttgart II crest Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 — —
Verl crestVerl v SV WehenSV Wehen crest Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 — —
SC Fortuna Köln crestSC Fortuna Köln v FC Würzburger KickersFC Würzburger Kickers crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 — —
1. FC Saarbrücken crest1. FC Saarbrücken v Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim crest Sun 1 Nov, 12:30 — —
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach crestSG Sonnenhof Großaspach v Rot-Weiss EssenRot-Weiss Essen crest Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 — —
Alemannia Aachen crestAlemannia Aachen v SC Preußen MünsterSC Preußen Münster crest Sun 1 Nov, 18:30 — —
Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The track record grades every published call in the open.

Frequently asked questions

How are these 3. liga - germany predictions made?
A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.
Are these betting tips?
No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.
How do I know the model is any good?
The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.