League 2 Predictions — Model Probabilities

Research, not instructions — the model states a probability, never a selection.
MatchKickoff (UK)Model 1X2Most likely score
Barnet crestBarnet v York CityYork City crest Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 — —
Newport County crestNewport County v Chesterfield FCChesterfield FC crest Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 — —
Grimsby Town crestGrimsby Town v York CityYork City crest Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 — —
Port Vale crestPort Vale v RochdaleRochdale crest Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 — —
Grimsby crestGrimsby v YorkYork crest Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 — —
Crewe Alexandra crestCrewe Alexandra v BarnetBarnet crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 — —
Accrington Stanley crestAccrington Stanley v Northampton TownNorthampton Town crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 — —
Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town v Bristol RoversBristol Rovers crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 — —
Oldham Athletic crestOldham Athletic v Crawley TownCrawley Town crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 — —
Tranmere Rovers crestTranmere Rovers v Cheltenham TownCheltenham Town crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 — —
Shrewsbury Town crestShrewsbury Town v GillinghamGillingham crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 — —
Colchester United crestColchester United v WalsallWalsall crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 — —
Swindon Town crestSwindon Town v Rotherham UnitedRotherham United crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 — —
Salford City crestSalford City v Exeter CityExeter City crest Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 — —
Northampton Town crestNorthampton Town v Oldham AthleticOldham Athletic crest Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 — —
Read the full picture. Every row links to the fixture's prediction view: expected goals, fair odds, price movement and the grounded team-news brief. The track record grades every published call in the open.

Frequently asked questions

How are these league 2 predictions made?
A Dixon-Coles + ELO statistical model, trained continuously on a growing results archive, produces expected goals per team and win/draw/win probabilities for every fixture. The model is then priced against the real odds market — the market always owns the final number.
Are these betting tips?
No — they are model probabilities published as research. Probabilities carry uncertainty and no outcome is certain; judge the process on the public track record, which grades every published call against the closing line.
How do I know the model is any good?
The track record page publishes calibration (predicted vs observed frequencies), closing-line value on every call, and a held-out walk-forward backtest — process metrics first, never performance claims.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.