SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Bundesliga
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Bundesliga

Germany18 teamsRecords from 2022LeagueBundesliga - Germany
Next match Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen Fri 9 Oct, 19:30

9 Bundesliga fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

9 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
94.8%
Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
Not enough data
only 1 settled call(s) are stored for this competition
Fixtures Analysed
36
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 3 months 45% 50% JulAugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 795 stored fixtures — 3 months carry a model sample, 3 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
1 1. FC Köln crest1. FC Köln Borussia Monchengladbach crestBorussia Monchengladbach Borussia Monchengladbach1X2 3.75 → 3.40 -9.3%Shortening 2 Augsburg crestAugsburg Bayern Munich crestBayern Munich Augsburg1X2 11.00 → 10.00 -9.1%Shortening 3 Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin Elversberg crestElversberg Elversberg1X2 3.10 → 2.85 -8.1%Shortening 4 Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen Werder Bremen1X2 7.00 → 7.50 +7.1%Drifting 5 TSG Hoffenheim crestTSG Hoffenheim Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV Hamburger SV1X2 8.00 → 7.50 -6.2%Shortening
View all fixtures →

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
3.81
▲ +0.7
Goals per match
over 36 match · vs all competitions
15.54
▲ +1.7
Shots per team
over 72 team per match · vs all competitions
5.4
▲ +0.7
On target per team
over 72 team per match · vs all competitions
2.05
▲ +0.6
xG per team
over 6 team per match · vs all competitions
77.8%
▲ +19.5%
Over 2.5 goals
over 36 match · vs all competitions
58.3%
▲ +3.5%
Both teams score
over 36 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend77.8% of the 36 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 52.8% of the 36 finished fixtures stored here, and 19.4% were drawn.
9
Upcoming
on the snapshot
3.58
Goals / match
last 12 results
58%
BTTS
7 of 12
67%
Over 2.5
8 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
View all →
  1. Fri 9 Oct19:30in 19d
    Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin Elversberg crestElversberg
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    Augsburg crestAugsburg Bayern Munich crestBayern Munich
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    SC Paderborn crestSC Paderborn VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    TSG Hoffenheim crestTSG Hoffenheim Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

Season to date
About this table

stored standings · API-Football · observed 2026-09-15

View full table →
Bundesliga
Position#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsFormHome and away detail
1SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgWWW▲13300101+99WWW
2Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia DortmundWWW▲1330082+69WWW
3FC Augsburg crestFC AugsburgDWW▼2321093+67DWW
4Bayern München crestBayern MünchenWDW▲2321072+57WDW
5RB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigWLW▲3320193+66WLW
6SV Elversberg crestSV ElversbergLWW▼2320187+16LWW
7Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer LeverkusenDWL311185+34DWL
8FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05LWD▼3311163+34LWD

Title race

Points and gap to the leader
  1. 1 SC Freiburg crest SC Freiburg 9pts
    +9 GD WWW
  2. 2 Borussia Dortmund crest Borussia Dortmund 9pts
    +6 GD WWW
  3. 3 FC Augsburg crest FC Augsburg 7pts
    −2 · +6 GD DWW
  4. 4 Bayern München crest Bayern München 7pts
    −2 · +5 GD WDW
  5. 5 RB Leipzig crest RB Leipzig 6pts
    −3 · +6 GD WLW

Form guide

Latest held form
  1. SC Freiburg crest SC Freiburg
    WWW
  2. Borussia Dortmund crest Borussia Dortmund
    WWW
  3. FC Augsburg crest FC Augsburg
    DWW
  4. Bayern München crest Bayern München
    WDW
  5. RB Leipzig crest RB Leipzig
    WLW

All upcoming fixtures (9)

  1. Fri 9 Oct19:30in 19d
    Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin Elversberg crestElversberg
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    Augsburg crestAugsburg Bayern Munich crestBayern Munich
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    SC Paderborn crestSC Paderborn VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  6. Sat 10 Oct14:30in 20d
    TSG Hoffenheim crestTSG Hoffenheim Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  7. Sat 10 Oct17:30in 20d
    RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  8. Sun 11 Oct14:30in 21d
    1. FC Köln crest1. FC Köln Borussia Monchengladbach crestBorussia Monchengladbach
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  9. Sun 11 Oct16:30in 21d
    SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Full table — Season to date

About this table

stored standings · API-Football · observed 2026-09-15

Bundesliga
Position#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsFormHome and away detail
1SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgWWW▲13300101+99WWW
2Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia DortmundWWW▲1330082+69WWW
3FC Augsburg crestFC AugsburgDWW▼2321093+67DWW
4Bayern München crestBayern MünchenWDW▲2321072+57WDW
5RB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigWLW▲3320193+66WLW
6SV Elversberg crestSV ElversbergLWW▼2320187+16LWW
7Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer LeverkusenDWL311185+34DWL
8FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05LWD▼3311163+34LWD
9Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht FrankfurtWLD▲4311178-14WLD
10Werder Bremen crestWerder BremenDWL311156-14DWL
11FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04WDL▲3311134-14WDL
121. FC Köln crest1. FC KölnDLW▼1311157-24DLW
131899 Hoffenheim crest1899 HoffenheimWLL▲3310267-13WLL
14VfB Stuttgart crestVfB StuttgartLWL▼5310268-23LWL
15SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07LLD▼3301204-41LLD
16Union Berlin crestUnion BerlinLLD▼13012410-61LLD
17Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia MönchengladbachLLL3003312-90LLL
18Hamburger SV crestHamburger SVLLL3003012-120LLL
Qualification and relegation, as the competition's own data describes it
  • Champions League league stage
  • Europa League league stage
  • Qualifying
  • Relegation
  • Relegation Playoffs

Season leaders (stored)

Top scorers

  1. 1 P. Schick 3
    Bayer Leverkusen
  2. 2 Y. Ebnoutalib 3
    Eintracht Frankfurt
  3. 3 I. Matanović 3
    SC Freiburg
  4. 4 M. Krattenmacher 3
    SV Elversberg
  5. 5 M. Gregoritsch 3
    FC Augsburg

Most assists

  1. 1 M. Ginter 3
    SC Freiburg
  2. 2 A. Nusa 2
    RB Leipzig
  3. 3 S. Guirassy 2
    Borussia Dortmund
  4. 4 T. Gomis 2
    RB Leipzig
  5. 5 S. Becker 2
    FSV Mainz 05

Most carded

  1. 1 P. Mwene 2
    FSV Mainz 05
  2. 2 W. Burger 2
    1899 Hoffenheim
  3. 3 O. Kabak 2
    1899 Hoffenheim
  4. 4 K. Diks 2
    Borussia Mönchengladbach
  5. 5 Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks 2
    FC Augsburg

Teams this season (18)

1. FC Köln crest1. FC KölnAugsburg crestAugsburgBayer Leverkusen crestBayer LeverkusenBayern Munich crestBayern MunichBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia DortmundBorussia Monchengladbach crestBorussia MonchengladbachEintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht FrankfurtElversberg crestElversbergFC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05Hamburger SV crestHamburger SVRB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigSC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgSC Paderborn crestSC PaderbornTSG Hoffenheim crestTSG HoffenheimUnion Berlin crestUnion BerlinVfB Stuttgart crestVfB StuttgartWerder Bremen crestWerder Bremen

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-11 Union Berlin v FC Schalke 04 Over 2.5 Goals 1.65 → 1.70 -2.9% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected just now

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which Bundesliga - Germany fixtures are coming up?
9 Bundesliga - Germany fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen on Fri 9 Oct, 19:30 UK time.